Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 3.349559 3.870150 4.446883 5.133555 5.929410 6.823463 7.905035
2024-10-20 2.629869 3.300966 4.109144 5.155561 6.477055 8.093805 10.227239
2024-10-27 2.019153 2.722583 3.633203 4.901551 6.628033 8.904288 12.147064
2024-11-03 1.738570 2.500878 3.554391 5.122356 7.407594 10.633729 15.564556
2024-11-10 1.541984 2.352253 3.540632 5.419673 8.335055 12.717432 19.864149
2024-11-17 1.346752 2.166933 3.436640 5.558243 9.043789 14.593769 24.201378
2024-11-24 1.164252 1.966760 3.272038 5.566406 9.539431 16.210521 28.414705
2024-12-01 0.980877 1.732310 3.010979 5.365416 9.644415 17.189254 31.714563
2024-12-08 0.828327 1.524195 2.758802 5.132103 9.643513 17.968525 34.777989
2024-12-15 0.746454 1.428533 2.688021 5.211270 10.219397 19.875281 40.290641
2024-12-22 0.652100 1.294112 2.524311 5.085232 10.376425 21.003522 44.459916
2024-12-29 0.620566 1.276370 2.579690 5.397609 11.455910 24.126838 53.316498
2025-01-05 0.571914 1.219835 2.556167 5.559255 12.283190 26.941558 62.224179
2025-01-12 0.517672 1.143186 2.479958 5.597469 12.855395 29.322324 70.673194
2025-01-19 0.446290 1.017978 2.280866 5.329870 12.692417 30.033889 75.349871
2025-01-26 0.421858 0.994542 2.303128 5.576383 13.781854 33.865617 88.542050
2025-02-02 0.404599 0.985002 2.355641 5.904786 15.133585 38.588483 105.063947
2025-02-09 0.377994 0.948618 2.338838 6.058734 16.073782 42.454954 120.148514
2025-02-16 0.346395 0.894727 2.270756 6.069348 16.640609 45.454620 133.483541
2025-02-23 0.307220 0.815194 2.125714 5.850768 16.544549 46.643373 141.829394
2025-03-02 0.271373 0.738813 1.977052 5.596440 16.300775 47.371451 148.948016
2025-03-09 0.253988 0.709905 1.950763 5.683383 17.065460 51.167029 166.535105
2025-03-16 0.229635 0.657788 1.852934 5.545886 17.134441 52.902581 177.867408